USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse in Aug 24
5
42
Ṁ252Ṁ130
Sep 2
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any of these things happen in the time interval from the title:
A constitutional amendment is passed and adopted
There is an emergency presidential succession. IE vp or someone else suddenly becomes president outside of the normal schedule
A nuclear weapon explodes in the USA of at least 50 kilotons
A disaster strikes killing at least 10k people. Diseases count, quakes, volcanos etc. Manmade and natural
An attack by a terrorist or nation or individual kills at least 3k people in the usa
$collapse means the inflation rate is greater than 100% annualized for at least a month
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Next US government shutdown
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse in 2025
25% chance
🏖️What will happen in August 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse in 2024
17% chance
Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Aug 2024?
62% chance
Some sort of political protester manages to deface the US constitution by mid 2037
34% chance
Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Aug 2025?
64% chance
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
36% chance
Will a Longtermist act of pre-emptive violence be reported by multiple credible news sources by 1st Jan 2028?
24% chance
USA amendment, nuke, big disaster, Kaiju, attack, or financial collapse during 2024
16% chance