
Tsunami risk in Japan until mid 2030
7
310Ṁ6992030
82
expected
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to the total direct death count from tsunamis until the end of the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Tsunami causes over $1M damage in 2025?
81% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be a tsunami that kills at least 50,000 people before 2030?
24% chance
When will Japan’s mega earthquake happen
Japan hyperinflation by 2030?
4% chance
Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
31% chance
Will tsunami hit Phuket, Thailand in 2025?
6% chance
Japan's population increases YoY before 2047
33% chance
Will Japan produce hydrogen with nuclear power before 2031?
72% chance
Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?
20% chance
Will there be a tsunami causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
17% chance