Tesla kicked out of China by 2035
9
44
Ṁ113Ṁ210
2035
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tesla will be kicked out of China for at least a month before 2035
This will be judged by whether there is a month long period where Tesla sells 0 cars in mainland China excluding HK.
Tesla's press releases, earnings calls, and other US official docs will be used to evaluate the results.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Tesla employee count at end of 2024
150K
Tesla introduces model which can be configured to have >=500 mile range per charge before 2029
63% chance
Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030
63% chance
Elon Musk criticizes China or CCP through 2024
20% chance
Ford F-150 dethroned as the top selling car in the United States before 2030
69% chance
Will Tesla be the most valuable US company by 2030?
16% chance
Trump in or near any Tesla vehicle by 2025
80% chance
Tesla offers a car & mode where Tesla has legal liability for any damages that occur while self-driving by end 2031
15% chance
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2035
Will there be a change of power in China by 2025
15% chance