Tesla kicked out of China by 2035
12
210Ṁ1582035
47%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tesla will be kicked out of China for at least a month before 2035
This will be judged by whether there is a month long period where Tesla sells 0 cars in mainland China excluding HK.
Tesla's press releases, earnings calls, and other US official docs will be used to evaluate the results.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Tesla robotaxi on fire by end of 2026?
52% chance
Will Tesla stop making cars before 2035
10% chance
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy by 2034?
13% chance
Will China collapse before 2030
10% chance
Will BYD outpace Tesla concerning electric cars by 2030 ?
82% chance
Will BYD auto enter the us market before 2030
76% chance
Will China ban iPhones before 2030?
18% chance
Will Xpeng (chinese EV maker) go bankrupt before 2030?
37% chance
Elon Musk deported by end of the January 2029?
6% chance
China's public EV charging capacity exceeds 300M kilowatts by end of 2027?
67% chance