Searches online show various results. Some include sentencing and some don't.
The largest manifold market includes sentencing: /RobinBruce/will-sam-bankmanfrieds-trial-conclu
YES = YES we should include sentencing if needed.
NO = NO we should consider the trial over as soon as a verdict is reached.
There are lots of claims on manifold which relate to this question, for example:
/Ernie/will-the-sbf-trial-last-into-2024
/Ernie/will-the-sbf-trial-last-at-least-5-f9975fd3da33
https://manifold.markets/browse?topic=sbf-trial-length&t=
It would be nice if they all used the same interpretation.
For this market, I will take it as input and the place to discuss how my claims related to trail length should all resolve.
Ideally we can pick the most logical interpretation, but my main goal will be to match the convention chosen by other claims so that people using manifold to track this don't have to worry about differences between the various.
Please comment below with links.
Related questions
Hmm, this page plus the prior two steps in the justice process being "Post-trial motions" and "trial" make it clear that within this realm, trial definitely doesn't include sentencing. https://www.justice.gov/usao/justice-101/sentencing
What does everyone think? There are a lot of bettors in these related markets and we need to get this cleared up soon.