Peter Daszak dies in suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
Mini
4
140
2027
7%
chance

If he goes, it'll be

  • "Suicide"

  • Disappearance

  • Murder with no obvious motive or uncaught perpetrator with no or weak motive

  • Hit and run, no leads

  • Alone, crashed car into tree on empty highway

  • Killed in custody

  • Etc, including other methods which could easily disguise an attack or silencing

Non suspicious ways:

  • Disease

  • Traffic accident with cars having a dashcam and footage, etc

  • Still alive at end of market

This may be subjective but I'll try my best to judge fairly.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

It seems like anyone on earth who believes that gain-of-function research is dangerous has an obvious motive to kill him. I'm not saying it's a valid reason, but it is a motive in the criminal sense. So I'm not sure how "Murder with no obvious motive or uncaught perpetrator with no or weak motive" could be true.

@asmith I agree in theory; that's why cases of murder where there is no known assailant will be treated as suspicious here. Even if it looks like a possibly relatively simple accident, because of the background information you listed.

In my phrasing "no obvious motive" means no local motive; and that case is under the "suspicious" header so I think it matches what your point is.