This is a double conditional so it should be possible to bet without worrying
The claim is both that:
If Trump wins Elon will visit the white house
If Harris wins Elon will not visit white house
The time period begins when either Harris or Trump assumes office, and ends either early if a visit happens, or at end of claim period June 30 2025.
Any visit must be confirmed to have happened officially by the white house, or by a photograph, or by a major us newspaper such as the la times, wash post, etc, excluding nyt.
@Ernie what about https://abc7news.com/live-updates/trump-presidential-inauguration-2025-live-updates-president-elect-donald-set-take-office/15807227/entry/15820690/
If you scroll down, according to sources he was spotted in the West Wing. May not be official enough yet though
@elongatedmuskrat at this rate it'll be clear soon. I did specify a fairly fixed set of sources. If the market ended now you'd already have a good chance. Given that we have a bit of time and clear no doubt resolution seems likely, I'd prefer to wait for that.
@Ernie He was confirmed to have gone but it was actually hours before Trump assumed office I believe.