If Prigozhin dies within 24 hours of the last bet on this market, it resolves yes | Manifold

If Prigozhin dies within 24 hours of the last bet on this market, it resolves yes

15

196

Ṁ1.6k

Ṁ1k

2040

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

i.e. imagine he dies at a certain time. At that point, I will look back at the betting history and if someone has bet on the market within the prior 24 hours, the market resolves Yes. Otherwise No.

Get Ṁ600 play money

Sort by:

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Will this stay open until 2024 ?

predicts NO

No one has bet in the 24 hours prior to the plane crash, so this will be no

sold Ṁ34 of NO

someone should just write a bot to trade on this market every 12 hours

Related questions

This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.

This market resolves YES if I am still alive at the close date

Is Yevgeny Prigozhin still alive, and will he resurface within the next 12 months

If the chance for this market to resolve is even, this market will resolve yes. Otherwise it resolves no.

Will Putin be dead within one year from today?

Related questions

This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.

If the chance for this market to resolve is even, this market will resolve yes. Otherwise it resolves no.

This market resolves YES if I am still alive at the close date

Will Putin be dead within one year from today?

Is Yevgeny Prigozhin still alive, and will he resurface within the next 12 months