Fewer than 40k people die from car accidents annually in the US before 2040
5
110Ṁ1962040
90%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2022 number: 42,795
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in_U.S._by_year
Update 2025-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarified Resolution Criteria:
The market will resolve YES if there is just one year before 2040 with fewer than 40k car accident deaths.
This includes all years in the period (with 2039 explicitly included).
Official data for each year will be used to determine success.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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