As of 26 Feb 2023, the market "Will Joe Biden run for President" (https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/will-joe-biden-run-for-president-in) is significantly higher than "Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee" (https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n). This market is to suss out how much of that is "Biden will not be healthy enough to nominate" vs. "A challenger/the VP will be more desirable for other reasons."
If Biden is nominated, this resolves to No.
If Biden does not run, this resolves to No.
If Biden drops out of the race before being nominated and cites health issues as an important part of his withdrawal, this resolves to Yes.
If Biden is not nominated and is dead, this resolves to Yes. (Cryopreserved is the same as dead for the purpose of this question.)
If Biden is not nominated and had highly-publicized serious health issues running up to the nomination (hospitalization for life-threatening health problems - like a heart attack or stroke or a diagnosis with an attached time-to-live of less than his term if he were to be elected), this resolves to Yes.
If Biden is not nominated and both Fox News and MSNBC cite his health as the most important factor during the coverage the day after the nomination, this resolves to Yes.
In other cases where Biden is not nominated, this resolves based on my best judgment.
If you know when the nomination will occur, make a comment so I can update the close date to before the nomination.
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Age is just a number. It matters because it predicts life experience and health.
Biden dropped out of the race because of the perception of his health.
The perception of his health was caused by his actual health being less than stellar. If his health had been perfect, the perception would not have been sufficiently negative for him to drop out.
Therefore, Biden dropped out because of poor health.
Though Biden didn't directly cite his health or the perception of his health as a reason for dropping out, it did not need to be stated; we know why it happened. The media landscape provides the context in which his dropping out happened. So, reading his statement in this context, he dropped out because of "health issues." Thus, though not directly applicable as written, when understood in context, the relevant resolution criterion is "If Biden drops out of the race before being nominated and cites health issues as an important part of his withdrawal, this resolves to Yes."