Will Israel still have troops in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2025?
62
1kṀ10k2026
93%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-20-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:
The market will resolve NO if there is no IDF troop presence in the Gaza Strip on the last day of 2025.
A buffer zone within the Gaza Strip borders counts as troop presence.
Annexed territories within the Gaza Strip are still considered part of the Gaza Strip.
Troop presence along the Philadelphi Corridor or at the Rafah Crossing counts towards presence in the Gaza Strip.
Soldiers held hostage in Gaza do not constitute a YES outcome.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
40% chance
Will Israel attempt to free any living hostages in Gaza through a military operation before the end of 2025?
50% chance
Will any US troops be deployed to fight in/occupy Gaza in 2025?
10% chance
Will the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
19% chance
Will Israel politically control Gaza after the 2023 Israel-Hamas war ends?
60% chance
Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035?
28% chance