Will Luria replicate?
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Scott recently wrote about Luria asking questions to some Uzbek peasants in the 1930s here:
https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/somewhat-contra-marcus-on-ai-scaling?s=r
The thing is, Kyrgyz and Uzbeks (after 80 years of mass literacy) are not exactly high in the IQ department TODAY -Kyrgyz scored around the equivalent of 75 on the 2009 PISA. Given it would be trivial for someone to visit Central Asia today (Kyrgyzstan would be easiest for a number of reasons), would Luria's observations replicate today? Resolves if someone travels to Uzbekistan/Kyrgyzstan/Tajikistan/southern Kazakhstan with this intention after I've posted this question and writes a detailed account of his observations. If the observations do not replicate Luria's at all, this question will resolve No. If they strongly replicate, it will resolve Yes. If it's a mixture, it will resolve to % on the basis of the agreement with Luria's observations.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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