Last year I sold 619 tree toppers on my etsy shop. Will I sell more during this holiday season than last year? I will count all tree toppers sold from October 1st to December 31st.
Some facts:
I have my listings up about two weeks earlier than last year.
I have gotten rid of a few styles and am testing out selling 10 inch stars and not just 6 inch stars
I am stocking about 200 fewer stars than last year, having replaced them with small wreaths, so far I haven't sold any of the new style
My pricing has increased by a few dollars
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UPDATES: I am not betting on this.
I will share weekly updates.
Last year's highest selling day was November 27th.
October 21st: 10 sold total
October 25th: 16 sold total
November 2nd: 32 sold total
November 8th: 57 sold total
November 12th: 88 sold total
November 25th: I lost track of the total right now because I am so busy, but I sold 50 just today and 25 yesterday so it is looking likely. I will update again when things slow down again after next week.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ99 | |
| 2 | Ṁ66 | |
| 3 | Ṁ43 | |
| 4 | Ṁ34 | |
| 5 | Ṁ33 |
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@EvanDaniel I had sold 2 last year by the date of this chart. I started selling them two weeks earlier this year.
@EveryDayDabble I wonder if people buy more when their local weather starts to turn cold?
@EmilyChang Absolutely! (I'm not an admin, but AFAIK it is...)
In general I expect good-faith stuff to be allowed. Fire-and-forget a market + link is probably bad, but if you're on here answering questions and participating on Manifold in other ways, I expect it's fine (and encouraged).
Personally I'd love to see more stuff like this. I'd love to see multiple people making markets like this, offering comments / advice on each others' markets, and bettering accordingly.
Other markets I'd love to see in particular are decision markets: "if I make a new product like X, will it sell well?" "which photo set is better for advertising my new product line? [4-option market of (photos a, photos b) x (over/under x sales figure)]", and similar.
If you (or someone else) sent me a list of a few such markets (or dashboard) I'd be happy to offer market-writing opinions (if desired) or a few hundred M in subsidies.
(Basically I think this sort of thing is super neat and I'd love to encourage more of it.)
@EvanDaniel Thank you!
As a seller, it might be valuable to see comments/advice from people in this organized/visual/data component format rather than in long strings of responses on message boards. I wonder how open people would be about their products, for fear of competitors.
The photo set question would probably work though.
I don't have a sense of the people in this community, and how those values/perspectives etc. match up with the types of people who sell online. And if those two communities would mesh well on this kind of site.
I don't know too much about the types of markets/questions and how things on here work yet, I just put this question up as a way to try to figure it out a bit more....
Last year I sold a bunch of live poison ivy plants, and never would have thought those would have sold! That would have been a fun question to pose as over/under sales figure.
@EveryDayDabble yeah, imagine making a market on "will the live poison ivy product be popular?" and watching people get surprised as the sales figures shot up!