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I'll say for what it's worth that I think p(n/a resolution|market would have resolved no under current definition) >> p(n/a resolution|market would have resolved yes under current definition)
ie if Google does unambiguously add bard to their search page, the market would have resolved yes under either definition so it's a lot less likely to resolve n/a than if nothing happens and so the wording debacle comes into play.
But sadly, this affects the odds of the market either way! Less downside risk to bid yes if this is true.
my bet is a hedge. I've held YES and NO back and forth in that market, but damn it needs to just zero out at this point
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16 YES payouts
á¹€1,843
á¹€796
á¹€329
á¹€265
á¹€226
á¹€224
á¹€153
á¹€111
á¹€80
á¹€68
á¹€56
á¹€38
á¹€33
á¹€7
á¹€5
15 NO payouts
á¹€2,708
á¹€748
á¹€483
á¹€442
á¹€113
á¹€102
á¹€97
á¹€94
á¹€94
á¹€82
á¹€70
á¹€39
á¹€37
á¹€33
á¹€9
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