Will I Squat 110 KG before my girlfriend comes back home?
Will I Squat 110 KG before my girlfriend comes back home?
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1kṀ1208resolved Nov 13
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My girlfriend is away for work 29th September till the 5th of November, can I up my squat 10kg in that time?
Resolves positive: If I one rep 110kg following powerlifting technical rules
Resolves negative: If I don't one rep 110kg
Resolves N/a: If my girlfriend comes home early
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If your girlfriend comes home early, but you lift 110kg before that early date, does it resolve Yes or N/A?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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