If Tadej Pogacar competes in the 2025 Paris-Roubaix UCI World Tour cycling race, resolves Yes.
If he does not start the race, or the race does not happen before the end of the 2025 UCI season, resolves No.
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There is an interview with Matxin here.
They spoke about Roubaix. Here is the section:
Pogacar se está planteando la posibilidad de correr la París-Roubaix. Sin embargo, Mauro Gianetti (CEO del UAE) dijo que era «mejor esperar y no ir este año». ¿Lo ves con buenos ojos o prefieres que se lo tome con calma?
La decisión ya está tomada. La decisión de la parte deportiva está más que tomada, pero la comunicación la tiene que hacer el equipo. Lo demás, es simplemente especular. El equipo de comunicación es el responsable de este cometido y no quiero entrar en conceptos en los cuales no debería entrar. Respeto máximo al equipo de comunicación.
My reading of this says Matxin is confirming that Gianetti will not let Pogacar race Roubaix. But I still think there is wiggle room for Pogacar to change their minds. I traded this down from roughly 60% to 35% on this news.
I was about to do the same market, I'm super late.
Horner was saying that if he wins MSR then he definitely should go to PR, because it would be the best opportunity to win all 5 monuments in one year. But last year was the best opportunity to win all grand tours in one year and he didn't go to La Vuelta, so I doubt it.