Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Tadej Pogačar officially starts Stage 1 of the 2027 Vuelta a España. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

"Officially starts Stage 1" is defined as crossing the start line (or departing the start ramp in a prologue/time trial). Pogačar must not be registered as a "Did Not Start" (DNS) for the opening stage.

The primary sources of truth will be the official Vuelta a España website and ProCyclingStats. If the 2027 Vuelta a España is cancelled or postponed beyond December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to N/A.

Background

Tadej Pogačar targeted the Vuelta a España in 2026, but suffered a severe crash on Stage 8, sustaining a broken collarbone, a cervical fracture, and a concussion. The crash ended his 2026 season, prompting his team (UAE Team Emirates-XRG) to focus his recovery entirely on a return for 2027. With a contract extension keeping him at UAE through 2032, his grand tour scheduling remains highly strategic as he balances his pursuit of a sixth Tour de France victory with other historic goals.

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