Will Kirishima lose to anyone other than Aonishiki in the September 2026 Grand Sumo Tournament (aki basho)

Question

If Kirishima loses to someone NOT named Aonishiki, resolves Yes.

If the tournament concludes and Kirishima has not lost to anyone NOT named Aonishiki, resolves No.

In the event of a default loss due to not showing up for the fight, that will NOT count as a loss for the purpose of this market. It only counts if he shows up for the bout and fails to win.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 76% chance (2 traders, as of Sep 14, 2026).

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