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MANIFOLD
Will Asahifuji (Ochirsaikhan/Ochiru) go undefeated through the end of 2026?
3
Ṁ10kṀ2.6k
Dec 31
4%
chance

Lost once in July but the streak is already resuming. He should be in the top area of Makushita in September 2026.

Can Asahifuji (formerly Ochirsaikhan) make it through 2 consecutive basho without a loss on his way up the ranks?

Resolves No as soon as he loses a match.

If he loses in a play-off for any division, that counts as a loss. He would no longer be undefeated for the purpose of this market.

If he sits out a tournament that also counts as a loss. Basically he has to win every possible match.

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Should've gone for the more realistic "Yusho in all 6 tournaments in 2026" from the beginning. Still extremely unlikely he goes 15-0 in November.