When will I have earned >=$100 USD via prize points on Manifold? (see desc)
Plus
9
Ṁ19852025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
20%
December 2024
41%
June 2025
47%
December 2025
Resolved
NOJune 2024
All dates after the date the operationalization is reached will resolve YES. Otherwise after the end of each month resolves NO.
Only resolves YES if it seems like I could have in principle withdrawn $100 USD from Manifold up to that point, so may not resolve YES if I earn prize points then somehow use them to get more points, but not $100 USD worth more, e.g.
I won't try to game this to manipulate traders.
I won't trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How many prize points will Manifold pay out to USD in 2024?
Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?
Will I have paid at least 1000 USD to Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will I spend real money on Manifold by the end of the year?
51% chance
Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?
Will Manifold pay interest (on Mana, Shares, and Prize Points)?
Will I reach the top 100 profits leaderboard on Manifold this year?
16% chance
When will a Manifold user hit a streak of 1000?
Are you hoarding prize points until cash payouts are available?
POLL