Which UCI Mens Elite road cyclists will win 1 to 3 (not 4 or more!) WorldTour races in the 2024 season?
2
225Ṁ2034
resolved Oct 22
Resolved
YES
Tim Wellens
Resolved
YES
Ben O'Connor
Resolved
YES
Brandon McNulty
Resolved
NO
Simon Yates
Resolved
NO
Nairo Quintana
Resolved
NO
Lennert van Eetvelt

NOTE THIS IS EXACTLY 1, 2, or 3 WINS. NOT FOUR. NOT MORE. NOT ZERO.

If your guy wins 3 then wins a 4th one, it's going to resolve NO. Don't add superstar 10 win guys to this market unless you genuinely think they will only win 1 or 2 or 3.

This concerns all 1.UWT and 2.UWT events in the 2024 UCI season.

A win in a 1.UWT, a stage in a 2.UWT, or a GC in a 2.UWT all count as one win.

No other events count.

If the race is a team time trial, no fractional win is earned, it is just zero.

If there is some kind of disqualification, relegation, etc., we will go with whatever the standings look like at the end of the 2024 season.

If there is some kind of tie or shared win, they probably each get credited with 1 full win point, but we will look at it on a case-by-case basis.

Ask questions.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ105
2Ṁ80
Sort by:
bought Ṁ15 YES

2 so far (one stage in Pologne and GC in Renewi) and going to both Il Lombardia and Guangxi, so probably resolves YES, but he could still win 2 more

bought Ṁ300 NO

@Eliza he won the ITT stages at UAE, Paris-Nice, Romadie, and the first at La Vuelta, so resolves NO

@egroj I think I disagree with this but could possibly be convinced otherwise. The Paris-Nice win is in a Team Time Trial and we normally do not count that as an individual rider win, by convention.

I do see that this was not specifically stated in the criteria, though.

bought Ṁ25 YES

@Eliza no, you are right. It was on the description, no TTT.

bought Ṁ125 YES

since he's probably not going to Il Lombardia or Guangxi, this will very likely actually resolve YES

bought Ṁ20 YES

He's on 1 from UAE Tour.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Eliza 1 more from La Vuelta, and he said on interview that he's on vacation now

bought Ṁ50 YES

He's currently on 2.

going to Guangxi, he could win GC there and maybe a stage

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules