How many OTHER site users will report completing 100,000 steps by the end of 2023?

#Sports #Meta-markets #New Year's Resolutions 2024

699

Ṁ24k

Ṁ1.7k

resolved Jan 1

ALL

100%99.5%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

3-5

0.0%

NOT COUNTING @firstuserhere

Base market:

/firstuserhere/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step

All the rules are the same as the base topic, proof must be posted, etc.

The date of the attempt needs to be after the start of FUH's market but it's okay if it happened before this one was created. Pre-registering attempts is encouraged.

If you want to put the pressure on, show FUH that this can be done. Or not.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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27 Comments

39 Holders

219 Trades

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bought Ṁ10 of 0 NO

Thank you all for coming. I have no idea if this market actually inspired the attempts that were made, but I tried my best.

bought Ṁ5,000 of 0 NO

The effort of @ahalekelly has met my standards for this market, no other pre-registered attempts are ongoing so I am highly likely to resolve at closure.

bought Ṁ500 of 0 NO

Did @nikki attempt the x13 backyard ultra?

@Eliza No. I wasn't bribed enough

bought Ṁ20 of 1 YES

@ahalekelly is doing an attempt right now. He is updating on his market here: https://manifold.markets/ahalekelly/will-ahalekelly-walk-100000-steps-i?r=Q2FybENpbmNv

Man, for the last hour or so I only walked at 91 steps per minute or so, with this speed the whole thing would take me 18h. Longer than I hoped for.

@justifieduseofFallibilism What's your step count up to so far? Looks like you have about 16 hours left.

bought Ṁ60 of 1 YES

@Eliza I think I had around 19.000 at that time. Did like 28.000 then did the calculation that it would take longer than expected and decided to stop.

@justifieduseofFallibilism Thanks for the update! Maybe you can try again in 2024.

This market will close and resolve based on "Manifold Time" -- if you have plans to walk 100,000 steps that are within a single day in 2023, in your own time zone, share your plans and time zone before this market closes.

@Eliza If you are planning an attempt on the final day, please pre-register the attempt or it might not be counted if your report is not in before the market closes. I could wait for a delayed report if it is pre-registered.

@Eliza doing an attempt right now. I'm in central European time.

@justifieduseofFallibilism Best of luck!

@justifieduseofFallibilism good luck!!

bought Ṁ100 of 0 NO

Will attempt 40.000 or so today and 100.000 on the 31. if I feel like it.

bought Ṁ157 of 0 NO

I will attempt this on Dec. 31 possibly

need to train for more backyard ultras

it's roughly 13 hours of a backyard ultra, but walking. my record is around there

@nikki What is your previous result at Backyard Ultra?

@Eliza 12 unofficially

@nikki Very respectable! I was afraid you were going to say 40 or something and this would be a foregone conclusion.

sold Ṁ258 of 0 NO

@Eliza Update: I will probably not attempt this. Unless the price is right...

Anyone have a success to report yet? 1 seems pretty high with only a couple weeks left

bought Ṁ200 of 0 NO

This sounds like fun

Mine does not count for this, right? https://manifold.markets/dominic/how-many-steps-can-i-take-in-a-24ho?r=ZG9taW5pYw

@dominic No, But nice job. And if you do it again it would count.

@Eliza Thanks, also for any future bettors, I do not plan to do this again this year (though maybe someone could change my mind with enough of an incentive)