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MANIFOLD
I average 10k+ steps per day in July 2025?
64
Ṁ1kṀ15k
resolved Aug 1
Resolved
YES

Background

The average American adult takes approximately 5,117 steps per day. (pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov). Over the last 12 months, I have averaged 6,312 steps per day. During June 2025, my goal was 8,500 daily steps.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if I average 10,000 or more steps per day during July 2025, as recorded by my Apple Health app. If the average is below 10,000 steps per day, the market will resolve to "No". I will provide updates on my step count at least once every five days.

Considerations

To reach an average of 10,000 steps per day in July 2025, I will need to accumulate a total of 310,000 steps over the 31 days of the month. I will resolve the market on August 1st or the day I surpass 310,000 steps, whichever occurs first. This goal may require incorporating additional physical activities into my daily routine, such as morning jogs or evening walks.

I may participate in this market but only by purchasing the Yes option. I will never purchase the No option or sell my shares.

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Update #11 - I successfully averaged 10k+ steps per day in July and will resolve the market as Yes.

My market for August will be based on my running mileage:

https://manifold.markets/Aaronube3n/my-strava-running-miles-in-august-2?r=QWFyb251YmUzbg

Update #10

Estimated 6250 steps to go

I'm new here! This is my first time EVER betting. I saw how far you've come and I choose to believe in you! Do not let me down.

Update #9 - through 29 days

Lets go man just a little more

bought Ṁ150 YES

You are a beast and 100% got this

@OKaya called it.

Update #8 - through 27 days

bought Ṁ250 YES

I believe in you!

Update #7 - through 23 days

Update #6 - through 20 days

Update #5 - through 18 days

Had to deprioritize my steps this week but planning on an active weekend - will update again soon.

Update #4 - through 13 days

Update #3 - through nine days

Update #2 - through five days

Update #1 - through 2 days

You got this man I believe in you