2024 Tour de France Startlist Mega Market
Mini
22
15k
resolved Jun 29
Resolved
YES
Geraint Thomas
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Jai Hindley
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Wout van Aert
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Simon Yates
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Derek Gee
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Carlos Rodriguez
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Tadej Pogacar
·
3mo
Resolved
YES
Jasper Philipsen
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Adam Yates
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Mads Pedersen
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Matteo Jorgenson
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Mathieu van der Poel
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Stefan Kung
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Alexander Vlasov
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Egan Bernal
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Richard Carapaz
·
8mo
Resolved
YES
Jonas Vingegaard
·
7mo
Resolved
YES
Tom Pidcock
·
3mo
Resolved
YES
Mark Cavendish
·
2mo
Resolved
NO
Joshua Tarling
·
8mo

Add a rider and then bet on if they will start in the 2024 Tour de France.

For now, I am restricting adding answers to myself. We only get 100 slots and I want to keep it more focused. Later on if they add a mode to switch it to Free Response, I might turn it on at some point. Ask in the comments if there is someone you really want to add.

Must be listed as a starter on the official race report from the first stage. If the first stage is canceled or postponed, etc., then we'll use the first stage that happens. If the rider starts a stage that is later canceled mid-stage and results are annulled, I'll count them as having started, even if the organization does something else.

If the entire race doesn't happen at all, resolves N/A instead of all No. I don't want the probabilities to be impacted by something like global catastrophe or organizer incompetence. Bet as if the race will happen.

Some other markets already exist, I don't want to trample them, they have more traffic than this already:

/JCE/will-mark-cavendish-start-the-2024

/egroj/will-primoz-roglic-start-the-2024-t
/Eliza/will-remco-evenepoel-start-the-2024

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ840
2Ṁ350
3Ṁ290
4Ṁ38
5Ṁ32
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bought Ṁ100 Mark Cavendish YES
Mathieu van der Poel
bought Ṁ150 Mathieu van der Poel YES

Announced program of TDF+Olympic RR

bought Ṁ5 Answer #99ed59354f94 YES

@Eliza can you please add Olav Kooij? He's out of the Giro and if Jonas is not on top form, Visma might have to go for stages at the Tour

@egroj Done!

Mark Cavendish
bought Ṁ20 Mark Cavendish YES

What else is Astana going to do? Their whole team is built for one stage at this tour for Cavendish. Very hard for them to not go with a sprinter team, Lutsenko is going to the Giro.

bought Ṁ20 Geraint Thomas YES

Since we have been discussing about it, can you please add Pidcock

bought Ṁ50 Tadej Pogacar YES

@egroj Added Pidcock and @NicoDelon added Pogacar.

@Eliza Also changed to free response mode -- at the time this was created that toggle did not exist yet.

Lol are we taking Jonas as a lock?

@JCE Mainly I was a little concerned we would use up every single answer slot when an entry for Jonas is quite likely to trade at 90-95% and might not be that interesting. I just added him, though.

Would you add Carlos Rodriguez, please?

@Lion Done!

I'm not quite convinced this is anywhere near as interesting as the Giro one is, or a Vuelta one would be. EVERYONE WHO CAN wants to start the TDF, and for many teams "the best riders" go there. Riders sometimes "choose" to do something else like the Giro and skip the Tour because of reasons.

It feels like this market boils down to "Will X be injured before the end of June" in a lot of cases, which kind of makes me think it is just not that good of a topic.

Meanwhile, I'm loving the Giro one. TADEJ TO THE GIRO.