Will the FTC inquiry into Microsoft/OpenAI and Amazon/Google/Anthropic relationships result in important changes?
Plus
15
Ṁ45252027
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if I believe the inquiry started a series of events leading to some change with non-negligible impact on ai timelines or level of catastrophic risk. No otherwise. Reserve the right to consult others for advice.
May clarify some in response to comments but intend to leave fairly vague.
Will not bet on this market. Might resolve early if it seems obvious its had an impact or will not have any.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the NYT lawsuit against OpenAI and MSFT go to trial?
45% chance
Will a new antitrust case be filed against Nvidia, OpenAI, or Microsoft in 2024?
41% chance
🧑⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?
51% chance
Will the FTC or DOJ break up Google, Amazon or Facebook?
18% chance
Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?
38% chance
Will OpenAI be involved in a major scandal before 2025?
35% chance
Will there be a merger of Microsoft's new advanced AI research team and OpenAI?
16% chance
8) The Microsoft/OpenAI relationship will begin to fray.
90% chance
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
62% chance
Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?
48% chance