Will the FTC inquiry into Microsoft/OpenAI and Amazon/Google/Anthropic relationships result in important changes?
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Resolves yes if I believe the inquiry started a series of events leading to some change with non-negligible impact on ai timelines or level of catastrophic risk. No otherwise. Reserve the right to consult others for advice.
May clarify some in response to comments but intend to leave fairly vague.
Will not bet on this market. Might resolve early if it seems obvious its had an impact or will not have any.
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