Will Orban claim, within one week after the elections on 12 April, that there was massive election fraud?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ79Apr 19
60%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán makes a public statement explicitly alleging "massive election fraud" within one week after the Hungarian parliamentary elections held on 12 April 2026. For the purposes of this market, a "public statement" includes verbal remarks during press conferences, official interviews, social media posts on his verified accounts, or statements released by his office.
Resolution will be based on reports from reputable international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, AFP). Ambiguous statements that do not explicitly allege "massive fraud" will resolve to "No."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?
34% chance
Will Orban (Fidesz) win the Hungarian Election on April 12th?
28% chance
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
1% chance
Will Peter Magyar be arrested before the 2026 elections in Hungary?
5% chance
Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?
89% chance
Will Victor Orban run for president position by 2030?
25% chance
When will Viktor Orbán's rule end?
Will conclusive evidence emerge before 2030 that Viktor Orbán is a Russian asset?
42% chance