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MANIFOLD
Will Orban claim, within one week after the elections on 12 April, that there was massive election fraud?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ79
Apr 19
60%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán makes a public statement explicitly alleging "massive election fraud" within one week after the Hungarian parliamentary elections held on 12 April 2026. For the purposes of this market, a "public statement" includes verbal remarks during press conferences, official interviews, social media posts on his verified accounts, or statements released by his office.

Resolution will be based on reports from reputable international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, AFP). Ambiguous statements that do not explicitly allege "massive fraud" will resolve to "No."

Market context
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