Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "YES" if Naftali Bennett is sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, scheduled for October 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."

The official outcome will be determined by the formation of a government that receives a vote of confidence from the Knesset, as reported by official Israeli government sources such as the Knesset website or major reputable news outlets (e.g., The Times of Israel, Haaretz, Reuters). If the election results in a government where Bennett does not hold the position of Prime Minister, the market resolves to "NO."