Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially sworn in as the President of the United States of America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

For the purposes of this market:

• Identification: "Emmanuel Macron" refers to the French politician born on December 21, 1977, who has served as the President of the French Republic.

• Office: "President of the United States" is defined as the head of the executive branch of the federal government of the United States, as established under Article II of the Constitution of the United States.

• Verification Sources: Resolution will be determined using official governmental sources, specifically the White House list of Presidents (https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/) or official publications from the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/).

• Ambiguous Scenarios: In the highly improbable event of a disputed executive transition, a geopolitical merger, or a constitutional crisis, the market will resolve based on which individual is officially recognized as the U.S. President by the United States Congress and foreign diplomatic protocols.

• Timing: Unless otherwise specified by the creator, the market will resolve to NO at the conclusion of the designated market timeframe if the event has not occurred.

Background

Under Article II, Section 1, Clause 5 of the Constitution of the United States, presidential eligibility is restricted to "natural born" citizens who are at least 35 years of age and have resided in the country for 14 years. Emmanuel Macron was born in Amiens, France, and is a French citizen, making him constitutionally ineligible to hold the office of U.S. President under existing law.

For Macron to assume the presidency, a fundamental change in U.S. constitutional law—such as a ratified amendment repealing the natural-born citizen requirement—or an unprecedented geopolitical integration event would be necessary. This market evaluates the probability of these extreme legal or geopolitical shifts occurring.