Will the New York Times substantially retract the "65 Doctors, Nurses and Paramedics: What We Saw in Gaza" guest essay?
Basic
16
Ṁ1198
Nov 13
6%
chance

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/09/opinion/gaza-doctor-interviews.html

The article includes prominently a set of three images it claims are x-rays of children who were shot in the head or neck. The author is careful not to explicitly say the children were shot by Israeli forces, only that they were patients one of the article's interviewees saw, but the clear implication is that Israel is responsible.

The rest of the article is a series of quotes from interviews with American health care workers who worked or currently work in Gaza hospitals, detailing children presenting with gunshot wounds, malnutrition, psychiatric distress in children, and more.

Various people have claimed the x-rays are inconsistent with gunshot wounds to the head from the kinds of weapon and ammunition the IDF uses. For example:

https://x.com/angertab/status/1845170296468172857

Market resolves yes if the Times retracts any significant claims from the article. If they say the x-rays are fake, not of Gazan children, not from the time period claimed, or not victims of Israeli military personnel, that counts. If they say any other substantial claim from the article is false, unsubstantiated, or misleading, that also counts. If they mixed up details that aren't important to the substantial claims - e.g. someone's name is spelled wrong, someone's age is incorrect, they misidentified someone's medical specialty etc - that doesn't count.

Archive link from October 12 2024: https://archive.is/tv9km

Sister market based on an uninvolved party's opinion: https://manifold.markets/EchoNolan/will-tracing-woodgrains-believe-the

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