Global CO2 Emissions in 2026
Global CO2 Emissions in 2026
2
2.2kṀ1302027
24%
41.5 billion tonnes
8%
41.6 billion tonnes
7%
41.4 billion tonnes
6%
3%
40.7 billion tonnes
3%
40.8 billion tonnes
3%
40.9 billion tonnes
3%
41 billion tonnes
3%
41.1 billion tonnes
3%
41.2 billion tonnes
3%
41.3 billion tonnes
3%
41.7 billion tonnes
3%
41.8 billion tonnes
3%
41.9 billion tonnes
3%
42 billion tonnes
3%
42.1 billion tonnes
3%
42.2 billion tonnes
3%
42.3 billion tonnes
3%
42.4 billion tonnes
3%
42.5 billion tonnes
This market predicts the total global CO2 emissions for 2026, including emissions from fossil fuels, industry and land-use changes. It will resolve based on the data presented in this graph from Our World in Data, rounded to one decimal place. The figures presented by Our World in Data are derived from the Global Carbon Budget dataset. Final data for 2026 are expected to be published in 2027.
If necessary, I will add new answers to ensure there are always at least 10 answers above and below the one with the highest odds.
For comparison, the same market for the year before:
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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