Will there be another major public-facing breakthrough in AI before December 31, 2024 [subjective - 1000M boost added]
47
302
1.3k
2025
67%
chance

Resolves YES if in my opinion there has been a major public-facing breakthrough in AI equivilent to the launch of ChatGPT or Midjourney/StableDiffusion. I wont participate or trade in this market unless its to make a quick buck off some volatility (I wont hold a position at market close at the very least)

This market is more likely to resolve YES if:

*There is a development in AI that is being talked about by people I know in real life who aren't that interested in AI such as my parents or my brother

* There is a development in AI that I personally am very excited about because it seems like a big leap forward

This market is more likely to resolve NO if:

*The situation is largely the same as today regarding consumer facing AIs. ie Midjourney still uses discord and has only slightly improved if at all. ChatGPT is largely the same. Googles AIs aren't talked about by normal people. And any new products are niche and uknown to the public

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Can you resolve this market now?

predicts YES

These are my guesses: autonomous humanoid robots mass production (by Tesla and more), LLM that writes DNA (by ginkgo and Google, generative AI videos by mid journey, independent agents by Open AI and google

bought Ṁ25 of NO

will you bet in this market?

@Symmetry read the description

predicts NO

@DylanSlagh lol, literally the only sentence i skipped

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