Will the CFTC approve Manifold Markets as an authorized Designated Contract Market (DCM) by 2025
7
76
180
2025
14%
chance
This question resolves positively if the CFTC designates Manifold (or whatever name this site is currently operating under) as a DCM by 2025. For reference, see their press release for Kalshi from November 4, 2020: https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8302-20
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predicts YES

does this resolve negatively if Manifold doesn’t apply to be a DCM?

yes it does