Will there be an edge case where it is hard to determine if Russia has invaded the Ukraine before March?
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100Ṁ14kresolved Feb 24
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Will we be unsure if Russia has invaded Ukraine as of February 28th? Fifth columns, uncertain allies, planes falling out of the sky, unauthorized incursions, back-and-forth action within Crimea... the possibilities are endless. This will resolve NO if we are sure that Russia has definitely invaded.
Feb 22, 6:20pm: Clarification of terms: as of February 28th, will I feel good making a clear yes or no statement as to weather the Ukraine (including Luhansk and Donetsk regions, but excluding the Crimea) has been invaded by Russia as indicated by an influx of Russian troops that were not there in January 2022.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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