Will the USA have a female president in 2023?
84
226
แน€1.3K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Temporarily transfers of power do not count.

Get แน€200 play money

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Anyone who's betting YES on this should probably buy some Kamala Harris shares in this market:

bought แน€1 of YES

0.05 actuarial death probability for a 79 year old; Biden presumably lower than average American as he is healthy and has access to the best doctors in the country. However I think some additional chance he is incapacitated eg by stroke, so Iโ€™m buying