Will reading in the schools be optional by 2060?
17
1kṀ1005
2060
34%
chance

We all carry small computers with us everywhere; they can currently handle text-to-speech and speech-to-text; reading is currently one of the biggest time-eaters in elementary schools; and there is very little that one might reasonabally need reading for, and there will be much less once AR becomes more common.

When will reading die?

This market will look at whether the majority of US schools are requireing a class in reading AND giving a level grade (e.g., A, B ,C, D, F) or equivalent (in other words a "media center" period with a pass/fail participation grade common in many gym/music/art/etc. classes would not be sufficient). It will look at classes required for a high school deploma, e.g., if any of elementary, middle, or highschool requires a reading grade for the average student to be on a high-school diploma track at the end of 2060.

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wtf are you talking about... reading is much faster for both processing and especially skimming information. Text-to-speech is obviously not a replacement, no matter how good. Only brain implants would be

@MadCloud101 Not for poor readers. Also, for the average reader, putting a speech sample at x2 speed will ~meet reading speed. Putting your educational effort into listening compensation rather than reading is probably a good investment for many students, and if the goal is to hold up the bottom performers rather than elevate the top, it looks like an easy win. For skimming, we have AIs. And if you want to just treat this as a market on the possibility of childhood brain implants being common by 2060... do that.

I recommend "How to Read a Book" by Adler to understand why we need more reading in schools; and text-to-speech is kinda unrelated technology. I hope we will move in this direction. I will vote for No when I have mana :)

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