Will Boris Johnson resign before March 2022?
Politics
103
11
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO
Will Boris resign, for any reason, before the end of February? Dying in office does not count. #shortterm #UK #politics Jan 15, 10:34am: #boris #borisjohnson
Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ211
2Ṁ180
3Ṁ165
4Ṁ148
5Ṁ124
6 Comments
202 Trades
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 of NO
We have six days left of the month and the combination of Ukraine & 'end of covid' restrictions seem certain to occupy the news cycle for at least two of those. At this point 'NO' looks like free money.
bought Ṁ37 of NO
https://polymarket.com/market-group/will-boris-johnson-be-prime-minister-of-the-UKv NO seems worth buying a little more right now.
bought Ṁ200 of NO
Betfair has this at 3% https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/politics/uk-party-leaders/exit-dates-boris-johnson-2-betting-1.160740937 Polymarket has this at 7% https://polymarket.com/market/will-boris-johnson-be-the-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-on-march-20-2022
bought Ṁ1 of YES
Also, they have wider conditions. If Boris dies, this will resolve 'no' (unless I've missed a relevant bit of legal terminology). They are asking the broader question of whether he will be prime minister, not just if he will resign.
bought Ṁ200 of NO
Polymarket thinks the probability is much lower: https://polymarket.com/market/will-boris-johnson-be-the-prime-minister-of-the-united-kingdom-on-march-20-2022
bought Ṁ300 of NO
I don't see Boris resigning. His ego won't let him. He might be pushed, but he won't jump.

Related in Politics

See more Politics questions

More related questions