Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2030, a high‑budget, theatrically released Batman movie explicitly portraying Bruce Wayne/Batman as gay will be released before January 1st 2040 (or has already been released).

What counts as “strong evidence”?


Strong evidence (before 2030) includes any of the following:

• The movie is actually released and meets all the criteria below.

• Principal photography has begun on a movie clearly marketed as a major Batman film, with reputable trade outlets and/or official studio materials explicitly stating that this version of Bruce Wayne/Batman is gay/queer and the film is intended for a wide, blockbuster‑scale release.

• A widely covered studio announcement (e.g. press release, investor presentation, or major‑trade exclusive plus follow‑up confirmation) describes a big‑budget Batman movie with an openly gay/queer Bruce Wayne and gives a planned release date before 2040, with no credible subsequent reports that the queer aspect has been removed.

If only rumors, unconfirmed leaks, or easily reversible “in development” chatter exist, that is not enough to resolve YES. The bar is roughly “this is happening unless something catastrophic intervenes,” not “someone pitched it once.”

“High‑budget, theatrically released Batman movie”

For this market, all of the following must be true:

• The film is produced or co‑produced by DC and/or Warner Bros. (or their successors) and is part of an official Batman‑branded project.

• Batman/Bruce Wayne is the lead or co‑lead and the movie is marketed as a Batman film (e.g. “Batman: [Subtitle]”, “The Batman [Something]”, or otherwise clearly framed around him), not just an ensemble film where he’s one hero among many.

• It is intended as a major commercial release, either:

  • a wide theatrical release in multiple countries, or

  • an equivalent “blockbuster” premiere on a major streaming platform clearly described by the studio/trades as a big‑budget Batman movie.

• The production budget is widely reported to be in the blockbuster range (roughly ≥$100M) or major trades and/or the studio itself clearly describe it as a “big‑budget”, “tentpole”, or similar large‑scale Batman film.

Direct‑to‑video animated features or obviously low‑budget projects do not count, even if Batman is queer in them.

“Explicitly portraying Bruce Wayne/Batman as gay”

This market is about Bruce Wayne, not just “queerness somewhere in Gotham.” It resolves YES only if:

• On screen, Bruce Wayne/Batman has a clear same‑sex romantic and/or sexual relationship (e.g. dating, kiss, explicit mutual attraction) with another man, or explicitly states that he is gay/queer, and

• This is presented as genuine canon for that version of the character, not a dream sequence, joke, illusion, or throwaway gag, and

• The portrayal isn’t plausibly deniable as “just intense friendship” or playful fan‑teasing – it’s treated as a real romantic/sexual orientation.

Additional clarifications:

• If Bruce is explicitly labeled “bisexual,” “queer,” etc., but the movie clearly foregrounds a male love interest for him, that does count as YES.

• If the only queer elements are subtext, camp aesthetics, or audience/fan readings (like some interpretations of earlier Batman media), that does not count.

• Queer supporting characters (e.g. Robin, Batgirl, Batwoman, a male Joker, etc.) do not by themselves resolve this market unless Bruce himself clearly meets the criteria above.

Edge cases & changes

• If a qualifying movie is released before 2030, the market should resolve YES once it is clear that the portrayal matches the criteria above.

• If, before 2030, a movie enters principal photography or is very concretely greenlit with an openly gay/queer Bruce Wayne and a pre‑2040 release date, the market may resolve YES on that basis. If such a project is later dramatically altered or cancelled, the creator should use common‑sense judgment and the spirit of this description, but the intent is to require a genuinely committed, studio‑level project, not a fleeting rumor.

• Reboots, multiverse stories, Elseworlds, animation, or live action all count as long as they meet the budget, marketing, and explicit‑queerness criteria above.

If none of the above strong‑evidence conditions are met by January 1st 2030, this market resolves NO, even if an openly gay Batman blockbuster is later announced or released before 2040.