Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Apple Inc. (or its direct corporate successor) goes defunct before January 1, 2050. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

"Defunct" is defined as meeting any of the following conditions:

• Apple Inc. undergoes complete liquidation, either through a Chapter 7 bankruptcy filing (or equivalent international liquidation process) or formal corporate dissolution.

• The company completely ceases all commercial business operations, and no successor entity continues to operate under the Apple brand or manage its primary assets.

The following scenarios do NOT qualify as going defunct (and will resolve to NO):

• Filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy (or equivalent court-supervised reorganization) if the company continues to operate during or after the restructuring.

• Mergers, acquisitions, or corporate spin-offs where the brand, core assets, or business operations continue under a new parent organization or successor entity.

• Rebranding or corporate name changes, provided the underlying business operations continue.

The primary source of truth for resolution will be official regulatory filings accessible via the SEC EDGAR database or formal announcements from Apple's Investor Relations.

Background

Founded in 1976, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is one of the world's largest and most valuable technology companies, with a market capitalization of over $4.8 trillion as of late 2026. Given its massive cash reserves and global ecosystem, a near-term collapse is highly improbable. However, a multi-decade timeframe extending to 2050 introduces long-tail risks, such as major technological shifts, geopolitical conflicts, or unforeseen regulatory actions.