Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the candidate certified by the Arizona Secretary of State as the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

• Official statewide canvas results will serve as the primary source of truth (available via the Arizona Secretary of State Election Results page).

• If the outcome is not officially certified by January 15, 2027, the market may resolve according to a consensus call by major decision desks (e.g., The Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ).

• For each listed candidate:

  • Katie Hobbs: Resolves YES if Katie Hobbs wins the election; otherwise NO.

  • Andy Biggs: Resolves YES if Andy Biggs wins the election; otherwise NO.

  • Teri Ann Hourihan: Resolves YES if Teri Ann Hourihan wins the election; otherwise NO.

  • Risa Lombardo: Resolves YES if Risa Lombardo wins the election; otherwise NO.

• Because this market is configured with independent answers and answer creation is disabled, any listed candidate who does not win will resolve NO. If an unlisted or write-in candidate wins, all listed answers resolve NO.

Background

The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election takes place on November 3, 2026.

The four candidates appearing on the general election ballot are:

• Katie Hobbs: The incumbent Democratic Governor, first elected in 2022.

• Andy Biggs: The Republican nominee and U.S. Representative representing Arizona's 5th congressional district.

• Teri Ann Hourihan: The nominee representing the No Labels Party.

• Risa Lombardo: The nominee representing the Green Party of Arizona.