How Many SPACEX Launches Will Occur During August 2024?
RESOLUTION
Resolves To All Successful Launches Of All Variants Of Launch Vehicles On The Official Flight Manifest Page.
NOTES:
CLARIFICATIONS:
12/23/2023: Occur During Beginning of August 1st 2024 12am ET (5am UTC) -August 31st 11:59pm ET (4:59 am UTC)
1/2/2024:
1/06/2023: On the manifest you will see 3 colors: Green is Successful, Orange is Partial Failure, Red is Failure.
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https://x.com/edwards345/status/1828885347037786343
Losing a booster is always sad. Each one of them has a unique history and character. Thankfully this doesnβt happen often, due to the robust design and vigilance of the team. We are working as hard as we can to thoroughly understand root cause and get corrective actions in place ASAP. One thing we do know though is this was purely a recovery issue and posed no threat to primary mission or public safety.
https://x.com/rookisaacman/status/1828862995939963056
Weβre just focused on recovery weather at this point. I think that is still gate to our launch.
Seems a fair amount of confidence that there is no public safety issue. But might still take time to get it written up adequately to get FAA to accept there is no public safety issue?
And we currently have 9 successful launches for August, 4 launches with scheduled dates (those often slip, of course), and one launch with a "no earlier than" August listing.
(Scheduled launches appear on both https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/agency/upcoming/1/?search= and https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/schedule/ with specific time-and-date listings. The no-earlier-than appears on the former site as "NET August", and on the latter site as scheduled for 1 minute prior to midnight UTC on August 31.)
launch pad game of chicken now resolved it appears.
Current status is 6 successful launches, 5 scheduled launch dates, and 2 launches listed as NET August. So, betting heavily against OTHER on the theory that 6 or 8 are very unlikely (failure can happen, as we saw in July, but is low-probability), and that 14 or 16+ are even less likely.
NASA delays next SpaceX crew launch due to ongoing Starliner problems
-SpaceX's capsule has nowhere to dock.