๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ผ During Which Official 2024 FOMC Meetings Will They Cut/Lower Rates?
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แน€8593
Dec 18
FED FUNDS : UNCH (5.25-5.5%)
FED FUNDS : UNCH (5.25-5.5%)
FED FUNDS : UNCH (5.25-5.5%)
September Meeting 50 basis-point rate cut https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/18/fed-meeting-live-updates-traders-await-september-interest-rate-cut.html
@DistinctlySkeptical Resolves YES [tweet]
75%
December 2024 Meeting
Resolved
NO
March 2024 Meeting
Resolved
NO
Apr/May 2024 Meeting
Resolved
NO
June 2024 Meeting
Resolved
NO
July 2024 Meeting
Resolved
YES
September 2024 Meeting
Resolved
YES
November 2024 Meeting

๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ผ During Which Official FOMC Meetings Will They Cut/Lower Rates?

2024 FOMC Meetings

  • Each Month Will Resolve Independently Of One Another

  • If Rates Or Kept The Same Or Raised, That Meeting Resolves NO

  • If Rates Or Lowered, That Meeting Resolves YES

  • Special Meetings That Lower Or Raise Rates Do Not Count.

  • Official Meeting Schedule

CLARIFICATIONS/NOTES


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November 2024 Meeting
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Interesting in light of recent jobs numbers

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FED FUNDS : UNCH (5.25-5.5%)

nm

The stock market went up last time. ("Buy the dips!") Wouldn't all that extra "money" in the economy require raising the interest rate?

1 word

JOBS

nm

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@traders
2 Weeks Until July 2024 Meeting!
Signal says September, I think that is the only one if it does happen, though December is possible if Trump wins even though FOMC says they dont play politics, we know this stock market reaction if Trump wins in November, and you would need the Dec meeting to evaluate Oct-Nov anyways.

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2025 Market

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bought แน€20 June 2024 Meeting NO

there's 3 possibilities, so each month should trend towards 1/3 ๐Ÿ˜Œ

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