
Will there be a heat wave in India and/or Pakistan in 2023?
19
Ṁ370Ṁ828resolved Apr 27
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A heat wave is an extended period of unusually high temperatures and often high humidity that causes temporary modifications in lifestyle and may have adverse health effects on the affected population. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) defines a heat wave as a period during which the daily maximum temperature exceeds for more than five consecutive days the maximum normal temper- ature by 9 degrees Fahrenheit (5 degrees Celsius), the normal period being defined as 1961–1990
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ24 | |
| 2 | Ṁ23 | |
| 3 | Ṁ19 | |
| 4 | Ṁ19 | |
| 5 | Ṁ14 |
Sort by:
@DismalScientist Even with the increasing frequency, it still seems like the base rate is 33-50% at most if the above list is right.
People are also trading
Related questions
The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Heatwave Kill More Than a Million in India by 2040?
10% chance
Will 2023-2027 be hotter than 2018-2022?
98% chance
will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
77% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
32% chance
Will 10,000+ people die of heat in Texas in a single week before 2032?
3% chance