Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will there be a heat wave in India and/or Pakistan in 2023?
19
Ṁ370Ṁ828
resolved Apr 27
Resolved
YES

A heat wave is an extended period of unusually high temperatures and often high humidity that causes temporary modifications in lifestyle and may have adverse health effects on the affected population. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) defines a heat wave as a period during which the daily maximum temperature exceeds for more than five consecutive days the maximum normal temper- ature by 9 degrees Fahrenheit (5 degrees Celsius), the normal period being defined as 1961–1990

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ24
2Ṁ23
3Ṁ19
4Ṁ19
5Ṁ14
Sort by:
predictedNO

@DismalScientist Even with the increasing frequency, it still seems like the base rate is 33-50% at most if the above list is right.