Did someone intentionally shoot at Trump on July 13th?
🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election🇺🇸 US PoliticsTrumpRepublican Party
➕
Plus
55
Ṁ60k
resolved Jul 24
Resolved
YES

NYT: "It sounded what could be gun shots interrupted Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania. Trump was hurried off the stage and appeared to be bleeding by his ear."

Resolves YES if someone intentionally shot a bullet or other bullet-like projectile* at Trump on July 13th. Resolves NO if accidental discharge or ricochet caused something to shoot towards Trump.

*I am using bullet-like projectile to mean something that is for all intents and purposes is a bullet but may not technically be a bullet. For example, I would not count a BB gun pellet since it is not plausibly lethal like a bullet would be.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Related questions

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ246
2Ṁ213
3Ṁ213
4Ṁ204
5Ṁ143
11 Comments
44 Holders
89 Trades
Sort by:

@traders planning to resolve YES tonight if there are no objections

resolves yes

resolves yes?

A very close call. If a butterfly flapped its wings near the shooter at T-minus 15 minutes, there's a 33% chance trump would have died. Then maybe there would be riots.

I think the title for this should be 'intentionally shoot'

I'd also like more specificity into "bullet-like" projectile. I more or less agree with the current percent, but a bloody ear could just as easily be caused by an air rifle, which is or isn't "bullet-like"?

I just mod-changed it to 'intentionally' - it's the same language used in the description, "Resolves YES if someone intentionally shot"

I would likely not count an air rifle because there would not be a serious risk to Trump’s life from it. I am just using bullet-like projectile to avoid anything that technically is not a bullet but works like a bullet for all intents and purposes

okay, thank you for clearing that up early! :)

(might be worth adding a clarification like that to the description, in case anyone comes in hardcore believing it wasn't a bullet)

Related questions