DesTiny avatar
DesTiny
closes Jan 2, 2030
Will there be a state introduced or removed from the union by 2030?
16%
chance

Resolves YES if at any point there are 49 or 51 states in the United States of America by Jan 1st 2030. A state being introduced and a state being removed at the same time would still resolve YES even though there would still be 50. Resolves Yes in the case of the absolute collapse of the US

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Gabrielle avatar
Gabriellebought Ṁ274 of NO

Adding a state (DC or Puerto Rico) is only possible if Democrats win a large majority in the house and senate and win the presidency. Winning the senate at all will be tough for them in the next seven years, let alone with a large majority.

A state leaving the union or the US collapsing is negligible chance.