Will a new Smash Bros game be announced in the Nintendo Direct on 9/8?

Question

With the upcoming Nintendo Direct on September 8th, 2026, Nintendo may announce the development of a new Super Smash Bros game for the Nintendo Switch 2 console. Historically, there has been a new Smash Bros game for every mainline Nintendo console since the first Smash game for the Nintendo 64.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (2 traders, as of Sep 6, 2026).

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