Will more than ten "national level" politicians in any single western country be killed within twelve months of each other before 2030?
13
224
Ṁ432Ṁ290
2030
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
National-level politicians meaning:
Reigning Monarchs
Heads of state
Cabinent Secretaries/Ministers
National legislators
Supreme court justices or equivalent
Attorneys General or equivalent
List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
France
Greece
Germany
Iceland
Italy
Latvia
Luxembourg
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States
Get Ṁ200 play money
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