Will any single terrorist attack in a Western nation kill more than 20,000 people before 2030? | Manifold

Will any single terrorist attack in a Western nation kill more than 20,000 people before 2030?

18

217

Ṁ2.3K

Ṁ370

2030

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:

Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
France
Greece
Germany
Iceland
Italy
Latvia
Luxembourg
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States

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Terrorist attack are brutal and should not happen at any cost. Don't want to bet on anything. Damage would be far worse.
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More related questions

Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2024?

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Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?

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Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Will there be a massive terror atack with more than 1k casualties on a western country by June 2024

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?

WEIRD Doomsday questions

Will any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?

Will more than 1% of young men ages 25-35 in any of the following Western countries die during a single calendar year before 2030?

Related questions

Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2024?

Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?

If a nuclear weapon is used in combat before the end of 2023, will more than 20M die from war-related injuries over the next year?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Will an eco-terrorism act causing a significant loss of life (10+) occur before 2035?

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?

Will there be a massive terror atack with more than 1k casualties on a western country by June 2024

Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change before 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?