Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis by Dec 31 2024?
Plus
28
Ṁ8770Jan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in all cities, citing safety concerns (see reporting).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations anywhere by Dec 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in a city, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations.
The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in San Francisco by Dec 31 2024?
3% chance
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
78% chance
Waymo Driverless in Vegas by EOY 2024?
6% chance
Will Zoox give public driverless rides somewhere in the US before the end of 2024
35% chance
When will Cruise relaunch driverless operations in at least one city open to the public?
Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
55% chance
Will someone be killed by a Cruise or Waymo taxi by 2025?
9% chance
Will Cruise re-obtain an AV Driverless Testing or Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2024
6% chance
[Metaculus] On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?
20% chance