Which novellas will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2026?
3
350Ṁ218Apr 2
65%
Adrift in Currents Clean and Clear - Seanan McGuire
50%
A Mouthful of Dust - Nghi Vo
50%
What Stalks the Deep - T. Kingfisher
48%
Don't Sleep With the Dead - Nghi Vo
45%
The River Has Roots - Amal El-Mohtar
45%
But Not Too Bold - Hache Pueyo
40%
Murder by Memory - Olivia Waite
37%
Making History - K.J. Parker
32%
The Potency of Ungovernable Impulses - Malka Older
30%
Automatic Noodle - Annalee Newitz
27%
The Memory of the Ogisi - Moses Ose Utomi
20%
The Adventure of the Demonic Ox - Lois McMaster Bujold
15%
Cathedral of the Drowned - Nathan Ballingrud
Resolved
N/ADon't Sleep With the Dead - Nghi Vo
The Hugo awards begin with six nominees per category. Science fiction and fantasy works are both eligible. Nominees will be announced in the spring. I'll resolve to 100% for all the works that are nominated for the Novella category, 0% for others.
100M prize if you propose a novella that goes on to be nominated!
Here's a Google Sheet of Eligible Works
You can also check out this FAQ about the Hugos
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which short stories will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2026?
Which series will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2026?
Which novelettes will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2026?
Which novels will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2026
Will George R. R. Martin ever win the Hugo Award for Best Novel?
9% chance
Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
14% chance
What games will be nominated for any IGF Award in 2026?
Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?
65% chance
Will Sam Hughes (qntm) win a Hugo Award by end 2026
15% chance
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2026?