Which short story will win a Hugo award in 2026?

Question

The Hugo awards begin with six nominees per category. Science fiction and fantasy works are both eligible to win. Winner will be announced at LAcon V in Los Angeles on Sunday evening, August 30, 2026.

Here's the official finalists list

You can also check out this FAQ about the Hugos

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, “Wire Mother” - Isabel J. Kim (Clarkesworld, Issue 229), followed by “10 Visions of the Future; or, Self-Care for the End of Days” - Samantha Mills (Uncanny Magazine, Issue 63) and “In My Country” - Thomas Ha (Clarkesworld, Issue 223) are most likely. See the market for live updates (1 traders, as of Apr 22, 2026).

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