I'll search for current information about the Epstein case and the individuals mentioned to provide accurate context for this market.#### Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for each individual if they either: (1) resign from a formal position or board seat, or (2) are formally charged with a crime. Resignations must be publicly announced and documented. Charges must be formal criminal charges filed by a prosecutor or law enforcement agency. The market resolves based on events occurring by December 31, 2026. Larry Summers has already resigned from the OpenAI board and stepped back from his teaching role at Harvard following the recent Epstein files release, establishing a precedent for this market. As of July 2025, the FBI and Justice Department stated no one else is expected to be charged, though Trump directed Attorney General Pam Bondi to investigate Clinton, Summers, and others after their names appeared in released emails, though none were accused of wrongdoing in those emails.

Background

In 2019, Manhattan federal prosecutors charged Epstein with sex trafficking, and he died by suicide in jail a month after his arrest. In 2021, a federal jury convicted Epstein's longtime confidante Ghislaine Maxwell of sex trafficking. Recently released emails show Epstein courted prominent figures from both sides of the aisle and used his connections to push back on negative stories about his alleged crimes. Neither Trump nor Clinton has been accused of wrongdoing. Alan Dershowitz's defamation case with accuser Virginia Giuffre was dismissed in 2022 after Giuffre said she may have made a mistake in identifying him. Jean-Luc Brunel was charged with rape of minors in France but died by suicide in his cell before trial could proceed.

Considerations

The DOJ has 30 days from Trump signing the bill to produce Epstein files records, which could reveal new information affecting this market. The bill allows the Justice Department to withhold information that would jeopardize active investigations or prosecutions, creating potential for the administration to open investigations as a shield. Brunel has already been charged and is deceased, so he cannot resign from positions. The market should clarify whether posthumous charges or resignations count, and whether charges must result in conviction or merely be filed.